Conflict in Rakhine State in Myanmar: Rohingya Muslims’ Conundrum

Nehginpao Kipgen. Journal of Muslim Minority Affairs. Volume 33, Issue 2. June 2013.

Introduction

The simmering tension between Rakhine Buddhists and Rohingya Muslims in Western Myanmar escalated in 2012 to a violent conflict, first in June and erupted again in October of that year. The violence led to the loss of over a hundred lives, destruction of thousands of homes and displacement of thousands of people. The central government intervened to end the bloodshed but tension continues to linger. The article argues that despite the government’s plan to undertake several programs to address the ramifications of the 2012 violence and its attempt to prevent the violence from happening again, the remedial measures are unlikely to sustain without any political solution. Consociational democracy, where elites form a stable democratic government in a fragmented society, is suggested to address the conundrum. However, before consociational model can be adopted, the status of Rohingyas needs to be studied and addressed constitutionally. And eligible individuals should be entitled to full citizenship rights like any other Myanmar citizens. For that to happen, Rakhines and Rohingyas should be willing to compromise on their differences by recognizing and respecting each other’s identity and culture. More importantly, the Myanmar government and the general public must be ready to embrace the Rohingya population if any genuine reconciliation is to be realized.

The international community has shown great interest in the Rohingya Muslims problem, especially in the aftermath of the violence in June and October 2012. While scores of writers in international media have focused on the subjectivity of the conflict, there are academics and policy-makers pondering what could be done to achieve long-term solutions to the inherent problem. Myanmar has experienced myriad ethnic conflicts since its independence from the British in January 1948, but what makes the Rohingya problem unique and why has it caught the attention of the wider international community? Is it because the Rohingya Muslims are less fortunate community than the other groups or is it because they are distinctive?

It is puzzling to see some social or cultural groups within a society tend to express themselves more radically than the others. It is equally intriguing to see how governments often respond differently to such phenomenon. A society may be divided along the lines of culture, religion, political affiliations or other forms of divisions. One dominant theoretical model social scientists employ to study political stability in a segmented society is “consociational democracy”. Arend Lijphart defines consociational democracy as a “government by elite cartel designed to turn a democracy with a fragmented political culture into a stable democracy”. Under such political arrangement, the elites attempt to form a stable government by accommodating or integrating diverse views and interests of people belonging to different cultural groups. A successful consociational democracy requires that the elites have the “ability to accommodate the divergent interests and demands of the subcultures” and also have the “ability to transcend cleavages and to join in a common effort with the elites of rival subcultures”. The possibility of such cooperation between rival elites would depend on their “commitment to the maintenance of the system and to the improvement of its cohesion and stability” provided that the elites understand the “perils of political fragmentation”.

Consociational democracy emphasizes the role of “elite behavior” in diverse societies. Cooperation between elites within the same group and also with elites of other groups or cultures is essential. In successful consociational democracy, the elites find ways to accommodate different sections of the society by sharing power as well as reaching decisions by means of “consensus” or “unanimity”. In an attempt to find a common ground to establish a grand coalition government, the elites try to achieve two objectives. First, the goal of elites is to settle “conflicts of interest” that may exist among the participating members. Second, by settling conflicts of interest, the elites also want to achieve a settlement or result that is “most favorable” to their own supporters. The extent to which the elites can reach a consensus agreement is dependent upon how much each participating elite can make “concessions”. The elites know that they cannot solve conflicts of interest unilaterally, and therefore, need to make a strategic “bargaining”. One elite’s interest may not necessarily be the same as that of the other elites and vice versa. Such differences would give each elite a chance to bargain for the best possible outcome that involves “competition as well as cooperation”.

Purpose of Study

This article attempts to understand the nature of conflict between Rohingya Muslims and Rakhine Buddhists of Rakhine state in the Western part of Myanmar in 2012. The violent conflict first started in June, and seemingly subsided for three months, but later erupted again in October. While the two groups blamed each other for inciting the violence, they could not find a mutually acceptable peaceful solution among themselves. The Rohingyas accused the Rakhine state government and the central government of deliberately attempting to eliminate their population and termed the violence as state sponsored ethnic cleansing. The central government denied such allegations, but failed to produce a concrete plan for long-term solutions. In this article, I attempt to explain the underlying factors causing such mayhem and argue that consociational democracy should be pursued to achieve long-term solutions to the problem. However, I must be clear here that consociational democracy cannot work effectively or may even be irrelevant without first addressing the Rohingyas’ citizenship and identity problems.

In order to understand the nature of violence in 2012, I will briefly discuss the historical context of the problem. I will then analyze the policies of the Myanmar government toward the issue, and discuss the general perception of the Myanmar people toward the conflict. I will also study the reactions of international community vis-à-vis the Rohingya conundrum. After presenting the different perspectives, I will discuss why I believe consociational democracy is the ideal approach to solve the problem.

The Rohingya Conundrum

Rohingya is a controversial terminology in Myanmar. The problem lies in the nomenclature itself. Though they call themselves Rohingya, the term which is also widely used by the international community including the United Nations, the Myanmar government and the overwhelming population of Myanmar call them illegal Bengali migrants from neighboring Bangladesh. The fact is that Rohingya is not included among the 135 ethnic groups in Myanmar recognized by the government. According to the 1982 citizenship law, there are three categories of citizenship: citizen, associate citizen and naturalized citizen. Citizens are descendants of residents who lived in Burma prior to 1823 or were born to parents both of whom were citizens. Associate citizens are those who acquired citizenship through the 1948 Union Citizenship Act. Naturalized citizens are persons who lived in Burma before 4 January 1948 and applied for citizenship after 1982.

The historical origin of Rohingya Muslims is also a controversial subject. Some claim that Rohingyas have lived in Myanmar for centuries and they are the descendants of Muslim Arabs, Moors, Persians, Turks, Mughals and Bengalis who came mostly as traders, warriors and saints through overland and sea-route. On the other hand, the general perception of the Myanmar people is that Rohingyas are Bengali Muslims from Bangladesh. It must be noted here that there are other Muslims across Myanmar who are not Rohingyas. Since the focus of this article is the violent conflict in 2012, I will not delve further into the historical debates about the origin of the people in question. The tension between Rohingya and Rakhine in 2012 started off with a rape and murder of a Rakhine woman on 28 May. The May incident was followed by a retaliatory killing of 10 Muslims by a mob of Rakhine on 3 June. Though it culminated in 2012, the simmering tension between the two groups has existed for the past several decades. For example, the exodus of Muslims occurred during the Burma Socialist Programme Party (BSPP) military government in 1978. Describing the incident in his 1978 article Refugees from Burma, Anand writes:

Over 200,000 refugees from Burma have crossed over to Bangladesh during the past two months. Most of them have been housed in about 300 tented camps along the border. The Burmese authorities have been accused of persecution, torture, harassment and excesses against Muslim residents of the Arakan state. Refugees allege that they have been fleeing from “atrocities” committed by the Burmese Army and immigrant officials and that the Muslim minority in Arakan is being driven out deliberately. The Bangladesh government has lodged a strong protest against the “repressive measures resulting in the forcible expulsion of their nationals belonging to ethnic and religious minorities”, and President Ziaur Rahman too has spoken about the “inhuman eviction of Burmese Muslim nationals.”

In contrast to allegations of both the fleeing Muslims and the Bangladeshi government, the Burmese government then said the Muslims are not its nationals. The Burmese government’s position according to Anand’s article was that:

…… the “refugees” are in fact illegal immigrants or fugitives from law. The so-called refugees, it is contended, are Bangladesh nationals, who had illegally settled along the border inside Burma. According to the official Burma News Agency (NAB) the “Bengalis” had fled because they lacked proper entry registration papers and also because of instigation by “unscrupulous persons”. They wanted to escape the scrutinisation drive, code-named “Nagamani”, launched in the region commencing on March 17 to classify the status of residents—bonafide citizens and foreigners; and they preferred to flee rather face detection and prosecution.

The above two passages demonstrate the fundamental issue of Rohingya conundrum. It not only shows how two neighboring countries have been dragged into the problem but also how differently they have been reacting to the issue. While Bangladesh condemned the Burmese government for using excessive force to drive out the Muslims into Bangladeshi territory, the Burmese government said they were illegal settlers intruding into its territory. The present violence in Rakhine state is an offshoot of the unsettled question on the origin and identity of the Rohingya Muslims.

In 1977, the Muslim population was concentrated in two townships in Arakan (now known as Rakhine) state close to the Bangladesh border, with 90% in Maungdaw and 80% in Buthidaung where the local Arakan population was reduced to a minority. As of 31 May 1977, there were 212,104 Muslims and 22,963 professing other religious faiths in Maungdaw and 140,641 Muslims and 24,562 others in Buthidaung. The towns of Maungdaw, Buthidaung, Rathedaung and Kyauktaw were the main entry points of “illegal immigrants” from across the Bangladesh border. As there has not been any official census in Myanmar since 1983, the precise distribution of population in Rakhine state cannot be ascertained. However, it is estimated that there are approximately 800,000 Rohingyas in Myanmar and another 300,000 in Bangladesh. Another exodus of Muslim population into Bangladesh occurred in 1991-1992 during the State Law and Order Restoration Council (SLORC) military government. Despite their dire situation in Bangladesh, the refugees were unwilling to return to Myanmar voluntarily.

Violence in June

The escalation of violence in June between Rakhine and Rohingya in Rakhine state initially started with a rape, robbery and murder of a Rakhine young woman by three Muslim youths in Yanbe township on 28 May and the subsequent killing of 10 Muslim males in a passenger bus in Taun gup township on 3 June. Following the two incidents, riots broke out between the two communities in three different townships in Sittwe, Maungdaw and Buthidaung. Angry rioters on both sides torched and destroyed homes, shops, guest houses, and engaged in a killing spree. According to the Myanmar’s government’s report released in July, 77 people from both communities were killed and 109 people were injured. A total of 4822 homes, 17 mosques, 15 monasteries and three schools were burnt down. The government in its revised report released on 21 August said that 88 people were killed—31 Rakhines and 57 Rohingyas. However, the Equal Rights Trust (ERT) in its June 2012 report, quoting Tun Khin of Burmese Rohingya Organisation in United Kingdom (BROUK)’s briefing in the British Parliament, claimed that at least 650 Rohingyas were killed by Rakhine and government forces, and at least 1200 people were missing.

Table 1 shows the official record of deaths and injuries from both communities as of 30 July 2012. Both in terms of casualties and injuries, the data shows that the Rohingya Muslims were the more affected community. It also shows that it was not a pogrom carried out on one particular community.

Table 1. Summary list of casualties and injuries in townships relating to incidents occurred in Rakhine state as of 30 July 2012.

Township

Casualty Injury
Rakhine Bengali Total Rakhine Bengali Total
Sittway 11 23 34 35 22 57
Ponnagyun
Myauk U
Kyauktaw 4 4 3 3
Pauktaw 3 3 6 10 16
Rathedaung 10 4 14 3 26 29
Buthidaung 1 1
Maungdaw 10 10 20 6 6
Yanbye 1 1
Minpyar 1
Total 31 46 77 50 62 112

Source: Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Government of the Union of Myanmar report titled “Consequent Events of Mob and Violence in Sittwe and other Places”, July 2012.

Amidst criticisms from various rights groups and members of the international community for not taking the necessary measures to prevent the violence, the Myanmar government formed a 16-member committee on 6 June to investigate the incident. The committee was chaired by the Deputy Minister of Home Affairs. On 11 June, Myanmar President Thein Sein promised his government’s commitment to rule of law and appealed to the people to cooperate and work together with the committee to bring peace to the volatile situation. The next day on 12 June, the President declared state of emergency in Rakhine state to prevent further violence and to restore law and order.

Table 2 shows the two different groups of people affected by the violence; people who took refuge in the relief camps during the actual violence and thereafter. Similar to Table 1, Table 2 also shows that both Rakhine and Rohingya communities were affected by the violence, with Rohingya Muslims evidently the more affected community.

Table 2. Comparison of affected persons at the relief camps during the period of violence and at present (as of 30 July 2012).

Township

Number of affected persons in the period of riots Number of affected persons at present
Rakhine Bengali Total Rakhine Bengali Total
Sittway 8525 28,012 36,537 5702 53,390 59,092
Maungdaw 3827 3827 2329 2329
Buthidaung 1110 1110
Rathedaung 4020 4020
Ponnagyun 3295 3295
Pauktaw 3438 3438
Total 24,215 28,012 52,227 8031 53,390 61,421

Source: Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Government of the Union of Myanmar report titled “Consequent Events of Mob and Violence in Sittwe and other Places”, July 2012.

The government’s investigation committee concluded that the violence was due to mutual mistrust and religious difference between the two groups that triggered hatred and vengeance between Buddhists and Muslims. After the government’s report, both Union and state government officials, and representatives from various civil societies visited the affected areas and engaged in different resettlement and rehabilitation activities. In the process, the government set up 89 relief camps in three affected townships to accommodate 14,328 Rakhines and 30,740 Rohingyas. The government received cash and kinds worth of more than three billion Myanmar kyats (approximately over 3.3 million US dollar) from people inside the country and abroad.

The Myanmar government rejected the accusations that the authority abused its power and used excessive force in dealing with the violence. The government downplayed the intensity of the violence by stating that it happened only in some isolated areas of the state. The government also rejected the attempts by some organizations and groups to politicize and internationalize the conflict as a religious issue. The authority said the violence was neither religious oppression nor discrimination against a particular group of people. The government claimed that Myanmar is a multi-religious country where Buddhists, Christians, Muslims and Hindus have lived together in peace and harmony for centuries.

Data in Table 3 shows the number of homes and other buildings destroyed during the June violence. Similar to Tables 1 and 2, overall more homes and buildings belonging to the Rohingya Muslims were destroyed. In terms of religious buildings, only three more Mosques were destroyed compared to Buddhist Monasteries.

Table 3. Summary list of destruction and burning of buildings in violence at Rakhine state (as of 26 July 2012).

Township

Destruction and burning
Rakhine Bengali Total Mosque Monastery School
Sittway 669 2967 3636 11 6
Ponnagyun
Myauk U 15 15
Kyauktaw 171 171 2
Pauktaw 21 103 124
Rathedaung 367 367 1
Buthidaung
Maungdaw 460 14 474 8 3
Yanbye 35 35 3
Minpyar
Total 1150 3672 4822 17 14 3

Source: Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Government of the Union of Myanmar report titled “Consequent Events of Mob and Violence in Sittwe and other Places”, July 2012.

In an attempt to understand the real cause(s) of violence and for the government to be able to provide a transparent policy, President Thein Sein formed a 27-member investigation commission on 17 August 2012. The commission’s representation was more inclusive than the previous 16-member committee. The new body comprised of leaders from religious organizations including Muslims, intellectuals, politicians and retired government officials. The United Nations Secretary General Ban Ki-moon issued a statement in support of the new commission. In an effort to enhance the commission’s transparency, the authority welcomed representatives from international organizations and foreign governments which included the special representative of the UN Secretary General, Vijay Nambiar, the Special Rapporteur on human rights Tomás Ojea Quintana, the Turkish delegation led by Minister for Foreign Affairs Ahmet Davutoglu, the President of Indonesian Red Cross Yusuf Kalla, and representative and Assistant Secretary General of the Organization for Islamic Cooperation (OIC) Atta Al-manam Bakhit.

Violence in October

Despite the government’s claim that it had taken the necessary measures to prevent the violence from recurrence, violent conflict broke out again on 21 October. As a consequence of a series of violence, 84 people lost their lives, 129 people injured, 2950 homes destroyed, 14 religious buildings and eight rice mills were burnt down. To prevent further violence, the government deployed police and army personnel in the affected areas. State authorities and community leaders were also engaged in mitigating the tense situation. The authority initiated legal actions against 1058 people involved in the renewed violence.

The government carried out relief and rehabilitation works for those affected areas. With a view to better coordination of the relief efforts, the Ministry of Border Affairs held a meeting with government departmental heads and representatives from the UN agencies and International Non-governmental Organizations (INGOs) on 28 October. On the same day, the government arranged for the Turkish ambassador to Myanmar to visit the Thekkelbyin relief camp to distribute relief materials. Representatives from the World Food Program (WFP), the United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (UNOCHA) and the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR), accompanied by the Rakhine state chief minister, also visited the affected areas to assess the situation. In response to allegations and accusations that the government deliberately targeted the Muslim population, the government reiterated that the violence was a consequence of sectarian conflict between two communities and that the government “never practiced policy of violence against Muslim or any other faiths”.

Without specifying names, the government hinted that the violence was instigated and exacerbated by some local and international organizations. It accused those organizations of supporting certain organization with local made arms to commit mob threats, terrorist acts and arson attacks. The government announced that it was taking actions against individuals and organizations instigating violence behind the scene.

International Reactions

Though the Myanmar government claimed to have taken impartial actions in dealing with the violence, concerns and criticisms came in from different quarters, including the office of the United Nations Secretary General and other agencies of the United Nations. During the 67th UN General Assembly session, which commenced on 18 September, Muslim leaders from OIC countries called for more action to end the violent conflict which the UN Secretary General discussed with Myanmar President Thein Sein and Ekmeleddin Ihsanoglu, Secretary General of the 57-nation OIC. Subsequently in late October, Ban Ki-moon’s office warned that the achievements of recent democratic reforms could be “undone” if the violence was not stopped. The violence had caused damage to the social fabric of the people. The UN Secretary General’s office cautioned that the local vigilante attacks, targeted threats and radical rhetoric should be stopped.

On 31 October, the UN Special Rapporteur on human rights on Myanmar Tomás Ojea Quintana, while expressing his concern over the conflict, said that there was a long-standing problem of discrimination toward the Rohingyas by many in Myanmar, including people in the government. His assessment was that if the government was serious about the country’s democratic transition, the problem of human rights needs to be addressed. Similarly, the United Nations independent expert on minority issues, Rita Izsák, said that the Rohingyas have been historically marginalized and vulnerable to human rights abuses. She urged the government to allow the safe return of Rohingya Muslims to their homes and to review relevant laws and procedures to allow equal access to citizenship and to encourage reconciliation programs between Rakhine and Rohingya communities. The Special Rapporteur on human rights of internally displaced persons, Chaloka Beyani, urged the Myanmar government to take necessary steps to prevent further displacement and destruction of homes.

The Third Committee of the 193-member UN General Assembly, which focuses on rights issues, expressed its serious concern over human rights abuses on the Rohingya population. The Committee’s non-binding resolution adopted on 26 November urged the Myanmar government to improve the living conditions of the Rohingyas by protecting their human rights, including the right to citizenship. The Myanmar mission to the United Nations General Assembly accepted the resolution in principle but denied the existence of Rohingya as an ethnic minority group in Myanmar. However, the Myanmar mission said despite the non-existence of Rohingya as an ethnic group in the country, it would consider citizenship for any member or community in accordance with the law of the land.

Surin Pitsuwan, the Secretary General of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN), in which Myanmar is also a member, warned on 30 October that the sectarian violence in Rakhine state could radicalize the Rohingya Muslims which could potentially threaten peace and stability in the region, and could also jeopardize the economic security of South and East Asia. The ASEAN chief admitted that the role of the regional body was limited to providing humanitarian assistance. He urged the international community, particularly the United Nations, to intervene in finding a political solution to the problem.

The Human Rights Watch in its 27 October report accounted extensive destruction of homes and damages of other properties in the predominantly Muslim-populated coastal area of the Rakhine state. The rights group urged the Myanmar government to take the necessary measures to end violence against the Muslim population and for the arrangement of adequate security. Earlier in its June report, the rights body documented targeted killings, rape and mass arrest of Rohingyas by the Myanmar security forces. The report condemned the authority for imposing restrictions on humanitarian access to the Rohingya community that displaced as many as 104,000 people who were in dire need of food, shelter and medical care.

One major allegation of alleged deliberate attacks on Muslim population was produced in a documentary by Al-Jazeera. The 50-minute documentary titled “The Hidden Genocide” was aired from 8 December to 12 December in Arabic language and from 9 December to 13 December in English language. Two days before its official release, the Myanmar Ministry of Foreign Affairs strongly criticized the documentary and said the incidents were fabricated and exaggerated. The government reiterated its earlier claims that security forces and the local authorities were not involved in communal violence or racial and religious discrimination activities. As a testament to its transparent policy on the issue, the foreign ministry said the government had given permission to UN agencies, INGOs, diplomatic corps and the Muslim Aid to visit the affected areas to observe the “situation by themselves”. Moreover, foreign ministers and high-level delegations from Muslim nations, including Turkey, Indonesia, Malaysia, as well as from the OIC were allowed to visit Rakhine state.

On 8 December, the Minister for Border Affairs, Lieutenant General Thein Htay said, “In Rakhine, there were only 250,000 Rohingya in 1980 and now there are one million. Think for yourselves. Is this genocide?” and added that “We have nothing to hide, and we are asking for your help in resolving this issue”. The government strongly rejected the use of the word “genocide” in Al-Jazeera’s documentary and said the violence in Rakhine state was a communal conflict between the Rakhine ethnic group and Rohingyas as a result of underdevelopment in the region and lack of international assistance. The Minister for Immigration Khin Yi said the government was open to accepting citizenship applications from anyone, including Rohingyas under the 1982 citizenship law provided that they meet all the criteria, including evidence that their families have lived in Myanmar for three generations.

How Did the Myanmar People View the Violence?

There were concerns and criticisms from the international community over how the violence was handled by the Myanmar government. How did the general public, especially the majority Burmese, view the conflict? Initially, neither Aung San Suu Kyi, leader of the opposition in the national parliament and the 1991 Nobel Peace Prize recipient, nor the country’s human rights groups and the pro-democracy activists out-rightly condemned the violence. On 30 October, several thousand people mostly Rakhines, marched to a Rohingya village in Rakhine Sate and asked the villagers to relocate. One person was killed when police fired upon the demonstrators.

The international community’s expectation from Aung San Suu Kyi was high since she has been admired by many as an icon of democracy movement and human rights. However, Suu Kyi, who is chairperson of the National League for Democracy and rule of law committee in the parliament, said both sides of the conflicting parties are culpable and that rule of law must prevail. During her tour to the US in September, Suu Kyi was asked at Harvard University why she did not condemn human rights violations against the Rohingya Muslims. Her response was that “You must not forget that there have been human rights violations on both sides of the communal divide. It’s not a matter of condemning one community or the other. I condemn all human rights violations”.

The people of Myanmar in general and the Rakhines in particular, who are overwhelmingly Buddhists, apparently do not use the term Rohingya. They rather use Bengali, and sometimes a derogatory term kalar. During the violence, pamphlets were disseminated in Rakhine state, which stirred up fear and anger among the local Buddhists. The pamphlets suggested that the global Islamic plan has made inroads into non-Muslim countries in different forms, such as the practice of polygamy, building and expansion of mosques, and seeking an ethnic minority status for the Rohingya Muslims. Though it was not substantiated, some alleged that the pamphlets could have been the strategy of the government to win voters’ support ahead of the upcoming general elections in 2015.

The monks (wearing saffron color robes) are highly revered by the general public as well as the military in this predominantly Buddhist country. In a two-day public demonstration that began in Mandalay on 2 September, thousands of people, including hundreds of monks, took part in support of President Thein Sein’s proposal to resettle the Rohingyas to third countries. The monks urged the people to save their motherland by supporting the president’s proposal. President Thein Sein suggested earlier in July that the Rohingyas be resettled to any country that would accept them. The civilian protesters wore T-shirts with a photo of President Thein Sein printed on the front as a sign of support, and at the back a crossed out picture of the UN human rights envoy Tomás Ojea Quintana. The demonstrators complained that the international community, particularly the United Nations, unnecessarily intervened in the sectarian violence in support of Rohingyas.

On 15 October, thousands of Buddhist monks marched in Yangon and Mandalay, the two biggest cities in the country, in protest against the plan to open OIC’s liaison office in northwest Rakhine state. The monks were joined by ordinary citizens in both cities. The protesters carried placards with the words such as “get out OIC” and “no OIC” and were destined to continue demonstrations until the government agreed to their demands, that is, not to allow the OIC to open office. The monks accused the OIC of working only for the interest of the Rohingyas. Hours after the monks dispersed, President Thein Sein’s office released a statement that the OIC would not be allowed to open office since the people are against it. It was unclear whether the statement was prepared in response to the protest or in advance.

Plans to Address the Conundrum

After pressures from the international community, the Myanmar government intervened to address the situation. With help from the international community, including the UN agencies and non-governmental organizations, the government initiated several programs that were intended to address the immediate needs of the affected people from both Rakhine and Rohingya communities. Apart from humanitarian assistance, authorities also took initiatives that were intended to address the problem in the long-term. Some of the objectives were: to improve law enforcement, to enhance stability, to improve public administration, to build emerging and developing civil societies, to conduct training and awareness campaign on conflict prevention, to take actions necessary to develop both Rakhine and Rohingya communities, to promote road connectivity, and to provide orientations on native culture and traditions. The government also planned to conduct activities that would enhance exchanges between the two communities to promote jobs in the agricultural sector, to improve market conditions and to provide the necessary infrastructure in health and education.

In addition, the government’s plan was to explore new opportunities in ship building, electricity generation, fishery processing, and to establish labor intensive industries, promote tourism industries and forest plantation. These programs were planned in anticipation of cooperation and collaboration from civil societies, international governments and organizations, either through bilateral or multilateral partnerships. It is evident from the intended programs that long-term political solution is missing or neglected.

Conclusion

Consociational democracy suggests that the problems of a divided or segmented society can be addressed by accommodating or integrating the different groups. It also emphasizes cooperation between elites of different cultures. Empirical evidences show that the Rohingya Muslims have not only been marginalized economically and socially but also excluded politically both in the formation of Rakhine state government and the central government. The brutality of military dictatorship from 1962 to 2010 prevented any implosion or explosion of the simmering tension between Rakhines and Rohingyas. As the country began to open up to the outside world and the people were gradually allowed to express their opinions more freely since 2011, the lingering tension between the two communities manifested in the form of a violent conflict. The complexity of Rohingya problem fundamentally lies in the fact that they are not considered citizens of Myanmar. This makes the case unique from the rest of conflicts in the country. While other ethnic minorities demand autonomy under a federal set up, the Rohingya Muslims struggle to be recognized as one of the ethnic groups of the country.

While the Myanmar government suggested resettlement program as the possible solution to Rohingyas’ problem, none in the international community, including the United Nations, has come forward to support such proposal. Instead, the United Nations has advised the Myanmar government to initiate reconciliation between the two communities and to pursue integration program. The policies of the Myanmar government have failed to emphasize a political arrangement where the Rohingya Muslims can fully participate in a multi-ethnic coalition government. The main argument in this article is that despite the government’s plan to implement several programs to address the ramifications of the 2012 violence and its attempt to prevent the violence from happening again, they are unlikely to sustain without any political solution. By political solution, it does not necessarily mean guaranteeing the Rohingya Muslims a special status or privilege in the government. First, the status of Rohingyas needs to be studied and addressed constitutionally. Second, eligible individuals should be entitled to full citizenship rights like any other Myanmar citizens.

People-to-people relations between Rohingyas and Rakhines, and with the people of Myanmar in general need to be improved. Given the historical unique nature of the Rohingya Muslims, reconciliation and political integration can be a great challenge. A reconciliation program will have a chance to succeed when Rakhines and Rohingyas are willing to compromise on their differences by respecting each other’s identity and culture. More importantly, the Myanmar government and the general public must be ready to embrace the Rohingyas if any genuine reconciliation is to be realized. Attempts to achieve long-term solutions by ignoring the crux of the problem, that is, political integration, is unlikely to bring real peace and stability in Rakhine state. In other words, without addressing the Rohingyas’ problem politically, the violent conflict in 2012 could be precedence to future violence.